There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, the demand for solar panels in Pakistan is about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a shortage of dollars, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant that distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring their dollars back from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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What trends are influencing the pricing and demand for solar panels in Pakistan?
**Interview with Hussain Khan, Director of Wateen Energy Solutions**
*Interviewer*: Thank you for joining us today, Hussain. There’s been a significant surge in solar panel imports in Pakistan recently. Can you give us an overview of the current situation?
*Hussain Khan*: Absolutely, thank you for having me. In the first half of 2024, Pakistan imported a staggering 13 GW of solar panels from China, making it the third-largest market for Chinese solar exports. This influx has made solar panels ubiquitous, with many being transported along our roads!
*Interviewer*: That sounds impressive! However, I understand that the market dynamics have shifted, especially with the spike in imports. How has this affected pricing?
*Hussain Khan*: Initially, the profitability was quite high. We were importing panels at around $0.15 per watt but selling them at $0.30 per watt. However, as more panels entered the market, prices began to drop drastically. In fact, some companies are now selling panels at a loss due to the oversupply. This drop in prices was unexpected and has led to a rapid exit of some players in the market.
*Interviewer*: It must be challenging for companies operating in this environment. How has the competition evolved with these changes?
*Hussain Khan*: The competition has intensified significantly. When the profit margins were high, many new players flooded into the market—some were companies that originally dealt in rice exports but have now pivoted to solar. With such a wide range of participants, the landscape is quite crowded now, and companies that are unable or unwilling to adapt are finding it difficult to sustain their operations.
*Interviewer*: With electricity prices in Pakistan reportedly rising, do you think solar energy will remain a viable investment for consumers?
*Hussain Khan*: Yes, despite the current market challenges, solar energy remains a “straightforward investment.” We generally expect a return on investment within 18 months to two years. Even if net metering becomes less favorable, the increasing electricity costs mean that residential and commercial users can still benefit from solar energy in the long run.
*Interviewer*: That’s an interesting perspective. With all these fluctuations and market dynamics, how do you see the future of solar energy in Pakistan?
*Hussain Khan*: I believe the future is bright for solar energy in Pakistan. The investment trend is still strong, particularly from commercial and industrial sectors, which continue to explore photovoltaic technology. There’s a growing recognition that solar is a sustainable energy source that can help mitigate electricity costs in the future.
*Interviewer*: Thank you, Hussain, for sharing your insights. It’s clear that while the solar panel market is at a turning point, there are still plenty of opportunities available.
*Hussain Khan*: Thank you for having me! I’m optimistic about what the future holds for solar energy in Pakistan.