Gloomy Democracy Trend? Researcher Offers Hope

Gloomy Democracy Trend? Researcher Offers Hope

Democracy Under Siege: A Global Retreat and America’s Precarious Position

A worrying trend is emerging worldwide: democracy is in retreat, with authoritarianism on the rise. This shift has profound implications for the United States and its role on the global stage.

By Archyde News

The Global Slide Toward Autocracy

For the first time in over two decades, the world is witnessing a stark reality: autocracies (91) now outnumber democracies (88). This alarming trend is underscored by the fact that nearly 72% of the world’s population lives under autocratic rule,a proportion not seen since 1978.The implications are far-reaching, affecting not only individual freedoms but also international stability and economic growth.

The V-Dem Institute, a leading authority on democracy research, highlights this concerning shift. Their data reveals a decline in democratic values in several large,populous nations,including Argentina,india,Indonesia,Mexico,and South Korea. This backsliding is not limited to developing nations; it’s also occurring within Europe.

Key Findings: Global Democracy in Decline

  • Autocracies Outnumber Democracies: For the first time in 20 years, autocracies are in the majority.
  • Vast Majority Under Autocratic Rule: 72% of the world’s population lives in autocracies, a level not seen since 1978.
  • Democracies in Decline: Major countries like Argentina, India, and Mexico are experiencing a negative democratic trend.
  • European Concerns: Hungary and serbia are rapidly becoming more autocratic, with Greece, Romania, Slovenia, and Slovakia also showing negative trends.
  • U.S. Democracy Weakening: The United States began to weaken its democracy even before recent political events, a progress described as “very disturbing.”

Source: V-DEM Institute

In Europe, Hungary and Serbia are experiencing rapid “autocratization,” while within the European Union, Hungary is followed by Greece and Romania in demonstrating negative democratic development. Slovenia and Slovakia are also under observation for potentially similar trends.

How Democracies Erode From Within

The erosion of democracy frequently enough occurs subtly, with elected leaders gradually dismantling key institutions and freedoms. As Carl Henrik Knutsen points out, democracies are being “built down from the inside.” This process typically involves:

  • Limiting Freedom of Speech: Suppressing dissenting voices and curtailing open debate.
  • Undermining Free Media: Weakening autonomous news organizations through various means, including financial pressure and biased regulations.
  • restricting Civil Society: Limiting the ability of non-governmental organizations to operate effectively.
  • Weakening the Rule of Law: Politicizing the judiciary and undermining its independence.

“Democracies are built from the inside,” Knutsen explains. “this is done through the limitation of freedom of speech, one turns down on free media, in civil society’s room for action and loosens on courts and the rule of law.”

The United States: A Democracy at Risk?

The health of American democracy is a subject of increasing concern. While the U.S. still maintains many of its democratic traditions, recent events have raised serious questions about its resilience. The actions and rhetoric of political leaders, notably the spread of misinformation and the undermining of trust in electoral processes, have caused alarm both at home and abroad.

“I still want to call the United States a democracy, but it’s a disturbing trend we see there,” says Knutsen, echoing the sentiments of many observers.

Examples of potential warning signs in the U.S. context include:

  • Attacks on the Media: Frequent accusations of “fake news” and efforts to discredit journalists.
  • Efforts to Restrict Voting Rights: Measures that disproportionately affect minority voters and make it harder to participate in elections.
  • Politicization of the Justice System: Allegations of political interference in law enforcement and judicial appointments.
  • Spread of Disinformation: The proliferation of false or misleading facts online, often aimed at undermining trust in institutions.
Indicator U.S. Example Potential Impact
Freedom of Speech Limitations Efforts to deplatform individuals on social media. Chilling effect on open debate and dissent.
Attacks on Critical Media Labeling news as “fake” and discrediting journalists. Erosion of trust in reliable sources of information.
Weakening Rule of Law Questioning the legitimacy of elections and legal processes. Undermining faith in the institutions of democracy.

“It goes on things like freedom of speech and willingness to use economic and political sanctions against those who think something other then yourself,” Knutsen explains.”Without freedom of speech you do not get free and fair choices.Unless the opposition, journalists or civil society can point out problems in the government’s policy, there is no competition for power on equal terms.”

the Autocrat’s Playbook: A Gradual Erosion

Knutsen emphasizes that the slide toward autocracy is often a gradual process, making it challenging to detect until it’s too late. Authoritarian leaders often employ subtle tactics to undermine democratic institutions,rather than resorting to overt repression.

The tactics include introducing restrictive rules on foreign support for civil society organizations, attacks on critical media, or the removal of troublesome judges. “You progress gradually, and then you weaken the resistance of the system in the next paragraph,” says Knutsen. “This is the recipe many authoritarian leaders have followed for the last 20-30 years.”

He draws an analogy: “if you can incur costs on peopel that make them choose to silence, that they are afraid of writing chronicles or printing chronicles, then it is indeed much more effective than pure censorship. If you are a smart authoritarian head, you would rather have self -censorship than state censorship.Another tool is to put loyalists in different positions that can later be used to undermine the rule of law.”

While Knutsen acknowledges that the U.S. has a strong tradition of free speech and a pluralistic media landscape, he warns that certain trends are following “the textbook for autocratization.” He notes that if you make changes little by little, not everyone will protest at the same time. If you have a well-functioning democratic system, you start with the weakest points.

© 2024 Archyde News. All rights reserved.

Democracy’s U-Turns: Lessons from Brazil, Maldives, and Zambia

Despite a global decline in democracy, recent research highlights countries that have successfully reversed course, offering hope and lessons for the United States.


While global democracy faces significant challenges, as highlighted in the V-DEM Institute’s recent Democracy Report, there are notable examples of countries that have bucked the trend. Brazil, the Maldives, and Zambia have demonstrated the ability to reverse autocratization and return to a path of democratization, offering valuable insights and potential strategies for other nations, including the United States.

Carl Henrik Knutsen notes, “Here is a hope… Here it is countries that have had a downturn and have managed to reverse the trend. There is also reason to note all the countries that have not started autocratization processes.After all,democracies can show a high degree of stability and resilience.”

These “U-turns,” as they are sometimes called, involve a complex interplay of factors, including citizen mobilization, institutional reforms, and shifts in political leadership.Understanding the specific dynamics within these countries can provide a roadmap for other nations struggling with democratic backsliding. For instance, Brazil’s transition from a military dictatorship to a vibrant democracy involved a long and arduous process of constitutional reform, truth and reconciliation efforts, and the strengthening of civil society. Zambia’s recent democratic progress has been attributed to a peaceful transfer of power following elections and a renewed commitment to good governance.

Gloomy Democracy Trend? Researcher Offers Hope
“Democracy forever, never more dictatorship,” the poster this woman participated with during a exhibition in Brazil on April 1, commemorating victims of the 1964-1985 military dictatorship. photo: Ueslei Marcelino (Reuters)

The United States: A Litmus Test for Democratic Resilience

The state of democracy in the United States has been a subject of intense debate and scrutiny in recent years. Concerns about political polarization, voting rights, and the integrity of elections have raised questions about the strength and resilience of American democracy.

Knutsen observes, “It is far from given that the country will succumb as democracy. Americans are good at mobilizing and they have strong institutions. I think it is an open question what is going to happen there and how far they will fall on the democracy indices. But that democracy in the United States has fallen in quality now, it is not controversial to claim. How deep it is going to fall and how strong the motor mobilization is, I am excited about.”

The U.S.experience offers a unique case study in democratic resilience. While the country faces significant challenges, it also possesses strong institutions, a vibrant civil society, and a tradition of political activism. The ability of Americans to mobilize, engage in peaceful protest, and advocate for democratic reforms will be crucial in determining the future trajectory of American democracy. For example, record voter turnout in recent elections suggests a renewed engagement in the democratic process. Similarly, grassroots movements advocating for voting rights and campaign finance reform demonstrate the continued vitality of civil society.

However, the U.S. must address critical areas to fortify its democratic foundations. These include:

  • combating disinformation and promoting media literacy.
  • Protecting voting rights and ensuring fair access to the ballot box.
  • Reducing political polarization and fostering constructive dialog.
  • Strengthening democratic norms and institutions.

Lessons Learned and Practical Applications

The experiences of Brazil, the Maldives, and Zambia offer several key lessons for countries seeking to reverse autocratization and strengthen democracy:

  1. Citizen Engagement: A vibrant and engaged citizenry is essential for holding leaders accountable and advocating for democratic reforms.
  2. Institutional Reforms: Strengthening democratic institutions, such as the judiciary, electoral systems, and civil society organizations, is crucial for ensuring fair and transparent governance.
  3. Political Leadership: Leaders who are committed to democratic values and willing to compromise can play a vital role in promoting democratic transitions.
  4. international Support: International organizations and democratic governments can provide support for countries undergoing democratic transitions through financial assistance, technical expertise, and diplomatic pressure.

These lessons can be applied in various contexts, from countries emerging from authoritarian rule to established democracies facing challenges to their democratic institutions. In the U.S.,this could mean supporting organizations working to register voters,promoting fact-based journalism,and advocating for campaign finance reform.

Country Key Factors in Democratic Reversal U.S. Application
Brazil constitutional reform,truth and reconciliation,strong civil society. Promote fact-based education, support grassroots movements.
Maldives Increased political awareness, international pressure. Advocate for human rights, support international democracy initiatives.
Zambia Peaceful transfer of power, commitment to good governance. Ensure fair elections, promote ethical leadership.

The Path Forward

The global decline in democracy is a serious concern, but the experiences of countries like Brazil, the maldives, and Zambia offer a glimmer of hope. By learning from their successes and addressing the challenges facing democracy both at home and abroad, the United States can play a vital role in promoting a more democratic world.

Knutsen emphasizes that democracies are “relatively robust regimes… It is indeed a form of government with appeal to many and a form of government that can make a comeback.”

Map of Liberal Democracy Index Scores
Global Liberal Democracy Index (LDI) scores in 2024. The LDI combines assessments of basic democratic institutions with liberal dimensions like freedom of speech and an independent judiciary. Foto: V-Dem

Raising awareness is crucial. “- It can help raise awareness of democracy as a form of government,” says Knutsen.

Published April 5,2025

How might democratic backsliding, as observed in various nations, impact future global cooperation, notably concerning critical issues like climate change adn pandemic preparedness?

Democracy Under Siege: A Global Retreat and AmericaS Precarious position

A worrying trend is emerging worldwide: democracy is in retreat, with authoritarianism on the rise. This shift has profound implications for the United States and its role on the global stage.

Interview with Dr. Eleanor Vance, Political Science Professor

Archyde News Editor: Welcome, Dr. Vance.Thanks for joining us today. The news about the global decline in democracy is alarming. Can you give us a brief overview of the current situation?

Dr. vance: thank you for having me. The situation is indeed concerning. We’re witnessing a notable global shift, with autocracies now outnumbering democracies for the first time in over two decades. A vast 72% of the world’s population now lives under autocratic rule, indicating a retreat from democratic norms worldwide. Key findings indicate democracies in decline across several nations.

Archyde News Editor: That’s a sobering statistic. What are the primary ways in which democracies are eroding from within?

Dr. Vance: The erosion frequently enough happens subtly. We see leaders limiting free speech, undermining autonomous media through various means, restricting civil society organizations, and weakening the rule of law by politicizing the judiciary. These actions gradually dismantle the vrey foundations of democracy.

Challenges and Opportunities for the U.S.

Archyde News Editor: Turning to the United States, how precarious is our position, and what specific challenges do we face?

Dr. Vance: While the U.S. endures, it is not immune. We observe disturbing trends here. Attacks on the media, like the spread of disinformation, efforts to restrict voting rights, and the politicization of the justice system are all troubling developments.These actions all undermine trust in democratic institutions, which makes American democracy more vulnerable.

Archyde News Editor: What specific steps can the U.S. take to address these challenges?

Dr.vance: In the U.S., this could mean supporting organizations working to register voters, promoting fact-based journalism, advocating for campaign finance reform, and other actions. There’s also the need to reaffirm commitment to international cooperation on democratic values.

Archyde News Editor: What are the key lessons learned from countries that have experienced these democratic reversals and how can the U.S. apply them?

The Path Forward for American Democracy

Dr. Vance: The U.S. can play a vital role in promoting a more democratic world by supporting organizations working to register voters, promoting fact-based journalism, and advocating for campaign finance reform. It’s essential to strengthen democratic norms and institutions at home.

Archyde News Editor: Given the global context, what role should the U.S. play on the international stage?

Dr. Vance: The U.S. should continue to be a leader in promoting democracy. This involves working with international organizations, providing support to countries undergoing democratic transitions, and using diplomatic pressure when necessary. Promoting a more democratic world by addressing these challenges is crucial.

Archyde News Editor: What are your thoughts on the long-term outlook for democracy,both globally and in the United States?

Dr. Vance: The future of democracy is uncertain, but the experiences of countries like Brazil, the Maldives, and Zambia offer a glimmer of hope. By learning from their successes and successes, the United States can play a vital role in promoting a more democratic world.And it requires sustained effort, but the future may well be worth it.

Archyde News Editor: Dr. Vance, thank you for sharing your insights. It’s a call to action.

Dr. Vance: Thank you for having me.

Published April 5, 2025

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